IDC maintains Windows Phone 7 to overtake iPhone in 2015 prediction


Worldwide Smartphone Operating System 2011 and 2015 Market Share and 2011-2015 Compound Annual Growth Rate 

Operating System

2011 Market Share

2015 Market Share

2011-2015 Unit CAGR

Android

38.9%

43.8%

23.7%

BlackBerry OS

14.2%

13.4%

18.3%

Symbian

20.6%

0.1%

-68.8%

iOS

18.2%

16.9%

17.9%

Windows Phone 7/Windows Mobile

3.8%

20.3%

82.3%

Others

4.3%

5.5%

27.6%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

20.1%

IDC has updated their (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, and despite Nokia’s recent troubles have maintained their optimistic forecast for Windows Phone 7.

They note Windows Phone 7 will benefit from Nokia’s support, scope, and breadth within markets where Nokia has historically had a strong presence.

For 2011, before the Nokia effect kicks in, the IDC expects around 18 million Windows Phone 7 handsets to be sold, taking 3.8% of the market. By 2015 this is expected to grow to 20.3% of the market, overtaking iOS with 16.9% of the share.

The IDC expects a total of 472 million smartphones to be shipped in 2011 compared to roughly 305 million units shipped in 2010. That figure will nearly double to 982 million by the end of 2015.

Read the full report at IDC here.

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Site Admin and Windows Phone enthusiast, he has been using Windows Mobile devices since before they were called PocketPC™s. He is currently sporting a Nokia Lumia 930.