Stop being a punching bag Microsoft! Start fighting back!

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We really live in a world where reality doesn’t seem to matter and people(financial analysts in this case) who do not actually make anything have an unfortunately huge sway on the fortunes of a successful and immensely profitable company like Microsoft. What I’m specifically talking about is the share downgrade by a Goldman Sachs analyst from “buy” to “neutral” that sent the shares tumbling down by about 1.7%. I have written about this topic once before, but what infuriated me even more was reading the various related articles to the story on techmeme and commentaries that elicited such hatred towards the company and parroted the prevailing  notion that Windows Phone 7 has to be “immediately successful” for for Microsoft to have a chance and in fact, it would be better for them to exit the mobile space all together. You never heard these people advance similar sentiments when the iPhone or  Android came out amidst the domination of Symbian, RIM and Microsoft to some extent. Even the hapless (IMHO) Meego  OS gets better coverage in terms of potential than WP7!

I have always been skeptical of the Kingmaker status given to these analysts who reside in ivory towers and I loathe the power bestowed upon them to be able to send a company to ruin by the issue of a single edict. While companies  like  Microsoft, IBM, Apple e.t.c provide actual products and services which naturally results in good and bad decisions being made in regard to what cause of action to take, the analysts have the luxury of sitting around crunching numbers, “pushing paper” and making millions of dollars on pure speculation (my simplified version of what consider their jobs to be.)It is a free market after all and I will always defend it, nevertheless, it is a pity the balance of power favors the “paper pushers” instead of the producers.

As this wasn’t enough, Microsoft has to contend with hostile media and tech journalists who also hold a great influence in the general public’s awareness and perception of all things technology. Their opinions in turn color  the mainstream’s media (your local news) reporting of the latest and greatest products. Case in point this story about how Apple dominates news coverage. The argument is always made that Apple makes higher quality products, but so does Microsoft but worse still, Apple’s flaws are always covered up as part “design” or just wait for the next IOS version  X.0 when it will be improved while anything Microsoft does is always tempered with a heavy dose of suspicion, by Jove! don’t you remember that they killed Netscape?

Google or Apple could announce the introduction of a blank piece of paper with their logo on it and it will be reported as the most innovative product that will revolutionize our lives forever! Just take a look at the news stories of Apple TV and recently Google TV. To the casual observer, you would assume that these are the only two options that exist while in fact, Microsoft (though admittedly partially their fault) has two great solutions in the Xbox 360 and Windows Media Center that compete fairly well in that area.

So what does Microsoft have to to?

Right of the bat,  they have to totally overhaul their thinking about marketing their products and become more proactive. Find ways pierce through the dense smoke created by the media and the Wall Street overlords to reach the consumers. You always hear people complain that Microsoft Office is over priced right? Did you know that if you purchase the retail disc Home and student version  for $150  and now only $99 at Amazon you could install it on up to 3 computers? That breaks down to $33.33 for Word, Excel, PowerPoint and OneNote per PC! If you want to get even more technical, you are getting a fully featured, industry standard Word Processor, Spreadsheet, Presentation software and a Note taking and organization software for $8.40 per program! Couple that with the new Windows 7 (3 user) family pack for only $140 at Amazon or approximately $47 per PC and you have a pretty good upgrade deal.

To top it off, add the much improved Office Web Applications, the recently released Windows Live Essentials Suite, the excellent and free Microsoft Security essentials and finally Zune desktop client and you pretty much have all the software an average consumer needs for a paltry sum of $240 or just $80  per computer! Microsoft should sell –shout it from the rooftops- significantly market this combo family package of the Windows 7 and Office Suite including a disc containing the free complimentary applications this holiday and highlight the outlined cost savings. I believe it would go very well with consumers especially in these tough economic times.

Secondly, Microsoft should shore up their presence in physical locations where most consumers frequent. I will make this argument until I am blue in the face that the most effective way for consumers to experience and make a decision on a gadget is by actually touching and interacting with a real and functioning device. Since Microsoft doesn’t have enough stores to go around, they should set up booths in Best buy like Apple does, Target, Wal-Mart, Malls, local electronic stores and wherever possible ,manned by knowledgeable personnel to reach consumers first hand. WP7 devices, Kinect and Windows Media Center boxes need to be experienced first hand and no kind of review can match it. No more dummy devices locked behind glass cases.

Thirdly, their advertising campaign should be focused and direct about how the new OS fulfills the everyday consumer needs effectively and how it contrasts with the current line of competing smartphones. No more ambiguous or “artistic” spots that look cool but never really say anything.

This last point was echoed in a conversation I had with a friend a few weeks ago. Now, I always make a point of casually inquiring from friends or people I come in contact with what kind of phone they have and what they like and dislike about them. This particular friend had a Blackberry Storm 2 which she liked because she could open and read MS office documents on the go, keep a calendar, listen to music, text message and access her social networks. She wasn’t that much into technology so having thousands of apps wasn’t a must have.  What surprised me the most was that she was considering getting the Kin (she didn’t know it had been discontinued)but the TV and online promotions for the device had actually reached her, an average consumer!

Microsoft therefore needs to fight back and go all out as they have promised with Windows Phone 7, Kinect (and hopefully WMC embedded devices and Zune HD2 when they come out) on the air, online and physical locations and they will be in good shape when it is all said and done.

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About Rush24

Rush24 loves everything Microsoft and is fascinated by the influence of technology in everyday life.

  • http://twitter.com/timjones17 @timjones17

    but I love my XP netbook

  • Tamarai

    They probably ran into a blog posting somewhere about Microsoft Windows Phone 7 pride parades and stuff, probably not the best way to promote yourself to the business community :p
    http://news.softpedia.com/images/news2/Windows-Ph

  • YOYO

    Don't you just love it when you're the biggest and still get treated like an underdog ;) That's not necessarily bad. The stock drop was surprise this morning for me. But it's all market running their emotion with scumbag like Goldman Sachs waving their magic stick. You make an excellent point that banksters doesn't not create any value for consumer and still get all the power. But Microsoft needn't be worry about their short term outlook. Thing is that MS still bringing the goods. But it is easier to pick on the oldest guy in the room.

    It is still funny to see that journalists assume things in the short term. Just because apple sold a couple million ipads in the quarter and they start predicting the demise of notebooks. It laughable at best. Let see how the hyped market for tablets do in the next couple of quarters when the ripples settle and people start to find out how un-useful tablets really are. They are not marketed as a productivity devices like a laptop but rather another piece of entertainment device. I'll put my two cent predicting the demise of tablets like the iPad with no stylus. Microsoft had it right with the stylus for the tablets, they just need to bring that Courier back to life. Then tablets would really be productive for all kind of people.

    Microsoft needn't prove themselves the to simpleton media. They just need to focus on what they do and put out refined products. Idiots will get ripoff and educated consumers knows what best for their pocket.

    • mussab

      Totally agree with you one the iPad (and similar devices) future!

      Without a stylus, I don't see these devices go anywhere after the current hype.

      Currently, without a stylus, the only opening between a laptop and a smart phone is for a light and cheap e-ink reader.

      I expect Microsoft to start working on the Courier again. Lately they started to focus their work more, and this was a busy year for them:

      Windows 7, Windows Phone 7, New Xbox, Kinect, and more .. that's a lot of products in 1 year!

  • NuShrike

    You know Goldman Sachs is betting against this "analysis". They always make bank off your puppet reactions.

    • NuShrike

      Person that down-ranked me probably doesn't know that Goldman Sachs talked up the mortgage market, and then bet against it including AIG, and walked away richer from the financial collapse.

  • http://www.martinschmidler.com martinschmidler

    Good article, lots of points I completely agree with! For some reason I also think a new logo might be helpful…

  • David

    Analysts like this are just bunch of stupid people. And sometimes I really think they have no clue about market and companies.

    And who knows maybe Analysts like this are also fanboy and no matter how great Microsoft does they come with some BS reason to decrease…

    All I know as someone in technology world and also as customer, Microsoft is doing really well now. They came with lots of new great and real innovation from last year. And it seems they are gonna continue it in next few months and next year.

    Well This holiday all my moneys will go to Microsoft as far as I know, New Slim Xbox, Kinect, WP7, New PC with Windows 7, Zune HD (or Zune HD 2 if it comes this holiday), Office 2010, and of course some XBox games…

    Analysts like this are big losers and GOD help those who trust them with their money!

  • Lennard

    good article rush!!

  • http://twitter.com/newshaggy @newshaggy

    The hate for Microsoft is unfortunately the only thing being overhyped about them. I see the direction the company is going in and I feel they may be capable of punching back. They must stop abandoning products though. It has made me angry a few times.

    Windows Mobile I get. No Apps for Zune HD and no upgrade path owch! It still hurts my feelings. Not porting Windows Phone to tablets and allowing fragmentation with embedded/full W7 is a mistake. I hope they suprise us with announcements to the contrary on the 11th.

  • http://twitter.com/expectafight @expectafight

    Hey Rush, do you mean "Stop being a punching BAG, Microsoft! Start fighting back?"

    • rush24

      Thanks! You are right, I have no idea how I missed that!

  • mark

    Good article. I agree with a lot of it, including your suggestions for what MS needs to do. However, you seem to have minimized or skipped over dozens of MS mistakes and failures over the last decade that have contributed to these concerns and perceptions. And you ignored several valid points that Goldman made. After almost ten years E&D *does* generate a pitiful profit that wouldn't cover its share of corporate overhead. Search *is* massively unprofitable for MS. They *have* blown the mobile and tablet markets despite having six and eight year leads respectively. And worse, in both cases they underestimated Apple and even ridiculed the products only to watch them go on to break every sales record imaginable. Let’s remember that MS has lost its marketcap lead to Apple, and will shortly be smaller from a revenue perspective as well. That represents a very real change in fortunes. It’s not being made up.

    MS needs to fight back, but most of all they need to get their act together. If they were winning instead of losing, eventually the media and analysts will have to acknowledge it. Just as Windows 7's success largely silenced the Vista-related negativity, with even Apple abandoning their attack ads.

  • Chris

    Why aren't these anal"ists" dogging Apple's OSX for losing to the Tablet market? Where is the OSX tablet? Is OSX going away? Is Apple going to only make iOS devices? Where the hell is any full OS tablet? WTF. It's a big fucking iPOD dumbasses!!! Wow. Get your shit in context and understand what your criticizing I say.

    • brent

      Because Apple is expected to sell at least 15 million iPads this year at minimum $500/per and 50% margins, and more than double that next year. If that happens, the Mac market can go away completely and they'll still be ahead on earnings and revenue. For Apple the risk is minimal. They have less than 5% worldwide PC share. They lost. Now they have a chance to either lead in the next evolution, or at least increase their worldwide share several fold. It was very smart and MS had years to see it coming, but still failed to be ready and has completely failed to respond. Mobile redux.

  • mark

    Maybe. But they’re not just any investment bank. They took MS public and have been the biggest [analyst] defender of the company and stock over the last decade. They even put it on their elite conviction buy list *after* the successful iPad launch and no show for the HP slate. No one else did anything even remotely similar. So I think they’ve earned the right to be taken a little more seriously than others. And this isn’t just any downgrade. It throws Ballmer and the board under the bus and says the strategy isn’t working and the company’s future is in jeopardy. There’s very little mincing of words, which is extremely atypical for these types of reports. Given their history with MS, the impact they knew their downgrade would have on the stock, and the influence they know their opinion will have on others right before the shareholder meeting next month, I don’t think they did this on a whim.

    What I get from their report is valid frustration with management and a legitimate concern for MS’s future. That's justified imho.

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